The market misprices things.
Your job is to find them first.
🧪 Portfolio Lab — build, rate, compare, finalize
⏱ Cycle timing — the case for starting now
Cycle DCA plan — base buy, scaled to the market
Per-coin split
Exit ladder — the plan is worthless if you never sell
Peak signal checklist — sell when 3+ fire at once
Non-negotiable rules
Built for the players
the market overlooked.
MoneyBall is free, ad-free, and built by one person. If it's helped you find something the crowd missed, you can chip in to keep it running for the whole community — and 20% of every donation goes to putting a glove in the hands of a kid who'd otherwise never get to play.
In 2002 the Oakland A's had roughly $41M to build a baseball team. The Yankees had $120M+. Oakland had just lost its three biggest stars to richer clubs. By every traditional measure the season was over before opening day. GM Billy Beane refused to accept that a pennant simply had to be bought.
His heresy was almost offensively simple: the market for players was mispriced. Scouts trusted gut feel — a swing that looked right, a good jaw. Meanwhile a boring, unglamorous number, on-base percentage, quietly predicted runs, and runs won games. The league undervalued players who just… got on base. So Oakland bought them cheap — and won 20 straight, 103 games on a bottom-tier payroll.
Crypto is the same unfair game. Whales and institutions have the payroll; retail has vibes — influencers, hype, FOMO, the coin that "looks right." MoneyBall does to crypto what Beane did to baseball: it ignores the noise and scores every coin on the fundamentals that actually correlate with surviving to the next cycle. On-base percentage becomes the Composite Value Score. Getting on base becomes buying the undervalued coins the market overlooked. You don't need the biggest wallet — you need the better model, and the nerve to trust it.
They get baseball & softball gear into the hands of under-resourced kids across the U.S. and around the world — so cost is never the reason a kid can't play. They're also the charity behind the Savannah Bananas' "Go Bananas for Baseball" campaign — the most fun team in the game backing the same mission. It's the Moneyball thesis in real life: talent is everywhere; opportunity isn't.
pifbs.org →